Evidence
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main points
- demonstration effect on three different group
- civilians
- insurgents
- iranian
main points
- how authoritarian states operate
- regime is in trouble
- regime uses fear tactic
- fear tactic produces a demonstration effect
- demonstration effect increase real and perceived power
main points
- the effect of the demonstration effect was two fold # it was an effective tool to choke of the supply system of the insurgents through depopulation
- and delegitimized the insurgency through collective punishment
- the delegitimizing nature of collective punishment was strong enough to affect iranian morale
containers
demonstration effect
- Iraq is motivated by the portency terror has on civilians
- increased use leads to increased terror that affects large populations including Baghdad and Tehran
- fear of gas was instinctive overpowering - you feel helpless - you panic , you lose morale, you surrender
- panic flushed out the outnryside in a matter of days, sometimes, hours, villagers who had been hardened to years of air and artillery attacks
- news of the gassing and Halabja caused surrounding vilalges such as Qaradagh to flee
- perenial bombardments of conventional military assaults, both artillery and infantry had not come close to what the fear of gas could accomplish
- a battle of skill is transformed by the trump card of the psychological fear that accompanies the indiscriminating and all encompassing reach of gas.
- it was not a basic technological advantage that caused the fear which caused the demonstration effect - the Kurds had always been inferiorly armed
- it was th unique properties of gas its indiscriminating, all encompassing reach
tool of depopulation
- Kurdish Insurgency was flairing up
- an insurgents main vulnerability was the rural population that sustained him
- without it the fighting spirit would be broken, demoralized to the point of peralysis
- the terror gas caused was put to work to depopulate the villages that support the insurgents
- ultimatum is given flee or be gassed
collective punishment on kurds (demoralize)
- de-legitimizes kurdish justification for the insurgency which was generally framed as necessary to protect kurds from the Iraqis - the gas attacks showed that the insurgents were ineffective protection and that perhaps surrender was a better alternative
- the brutal effectiveness of chemical weapons exposes the hollowness of justifying an insurgency as necessary to protect the population
- in fact the insurgent is recast as the cause of insecurity
- the insurgents realize they would be blamed cannot continue we didn't want to casue even more civilian casualties
collective punishment on Iran
- civilian gas attacks were event though to be a way of demoralizing the Iranian war effort
- iranians aslo understood the potency of terror to demoralize and did not broadcast Iraqi attacks
- gassing soldiers was insignificant but gassing civilians was terrifying
summary
82
- increased use leads to increased casualties and increased terror that affects larfe populations including Baghdad and Tehran
- Iraq is motivated by the portency terror has on civilians
- civilian gas attacks were event though to be a way of demoralizing the Iranian war effort
85
- iranians aslo understood the potency of terror to demoralize and did not broadcast Iraqi attacks
- so the gas technology was not significant because it was broadcast
- the terror casued by using gas on civilians is what is significant
86
- Kurds always were insurgents
- when they allign with the iranians and realize the mountains give them impunity they can't be bought off
- two front war develops
92
- anger was also a factor after kurdish betrayal over Kirkuk attack
93
- kirkuk attack brings in chemical ali and his affection for gas
- the teror gas caused was put to work to depopulate the villages that support the insurgents
- ultimatum is given flee or be gassed
- significant motive - delegitimizes kurdish justification for the insurgency which was generally framed as necessary to protect kurds from the Iraqis - the gas attacks showed that the insurgents were ineffective protection and that perhaps surrender was a better alternative
94
- an insurgents main vulnerability was the rural population that sustained him
- without it the fighting spirit would be broken, demoralized to the point of peralysis
- the brutal effectiveness of chemical weapons exposes the hollowness of justifying an insurgency as necessary to protect the population
- in fact the insurgent is recast as the cause of insecurity
- all previous efforts to depopulate the country side failed
- the insurgents realize they would be blamed cannot continue we didn't want to casue even more civilian casualties
- fear of gas was instinctive overpowering - you feel helpless - you panic , you lose morale, you surrender
130
- panic flushed out the outnryside in a matter of days, sometimes, hours, villagers who had been hardened to years of air and artillery attacks
131
- gas was a form of collective punishment for the insurgency
- news of the gassing and Halabja caused surrounding vilalges such as Qaradagh to flee
- perenial bombardments of conventional military assaults, both artillery and infantry had not come close to what the fear of gas could accomplish
- a battle of skill is transformed by the trump card of the psychological fear that accompanies the indiscriminating and all encompassing reach of gas.
- It was not general technological advantage that was responsible for putting down the insurgency it was the unique psychological effects of gas itsself
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page revision: 7, last edited: 09 Dec 2007 19:28